Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.480418 0.559556 0.647290 0.751720 0.872605 1.008108 1.171509
2025-02-16 0.350226 0.455881 0.586113 0.758239 0.979603 1.254602 1.622162
2025-02-23 0.277959 0.391631 0.542708 0.757758 1.055654 1.453452 2.024912
2025-03-02 0.228076 0.342871 0.505120 0.750471 1.111490 1.622640 2.401038
2025-03-09 0.193731 0.308095 0.478584 0.750240 1.171330 1.798330 2.802208
2025-03-16 0.161250 0.269831 0.439683 0.723393 1.184266 1.902244 3.104600
2025-03-23 0.150764 0.264046 0.449047 0.771351 1.317241 2.202550 3.745467
2025-03-30 0.129436 0.236734 0.419270 0.750242 1.333408 2.315798 4.093601
2025-04-06 0.111206 0.211872 0.389842 0.724881 1.337522 2.406960 4.411704
2025-04-13 0.096356 0.190822 0.364022 0.701862 1.341626 2.496492 4.734369
2025-04-20 0.087684 0.180063 0.355307 0.708670 1.400063 2.687763 5.261324
2025-04-27 0.083863 0.178169 0.362870 0.747045 1.522017 3.008080 6.064798
2025-05-04 0.077955 0.171483 0.360733 0.767051 1.612609 3.282901 6.820683
2025-05-11 0.071534 0.162857 0.353684 0.776386 1.683391 3.528100 7.549246
2025-05-18 0.065033 0.153061 0.342814 0.776013 1.733408 3.736100 8.224100
2025-05-25 0.058744 0.142802 0.329551 0.768559 1.766968 3.913032 8.852737
2025-06-01 0.053743 0.134782 0.320137 0.768323 1.816033 4.127646 9.586718
2025-06-08 0.047451 0.122749 0.300027 0.740842 1.799821 4.197501 10.005482
2025-06-15 0.046710 0.124283 0.311768 0.789932 1.967354 4.696259 11.459996
2025-06-22 0.041812 0.114558 0.295232 0.768324 1.963488 4.801445 12.004623
2025-06-29 0.037236 0.105000 0.277868 0.742365 1.945646 4.871452 12.472232
2025-07-06 0.033294 0.096565 0.262246 0.718801 1.930818 4.946724 12.960823
2025-07-13 0.031180 0.092874 0.258465 0.725771 1.995298 5.223810 13.987547